Domestic compound fertilizer market one week market review analysis 1-30

This week, the domestic compound fertilizer market moved forward steadily, and the mainstream prices remained stable. At present, the domestic 45% (15:15:15) chlorine-based compound fertilizer factory price is generally 2350-2400 yuan / ton, 45% (15:15:15) sulfur-based compound fertilizer factory price is generally 2600-2650 yuan / ton, Most of the actual transactions were single-handedly discussed. Although there was a small discount, the number of companies operating at low prices was significantly reduced, and even individual manufacturers slightly raised the listed prices for external publicity. The production start-up rate of enterprises is generally insufficient. Some manufacturers have production cut-off plans during the Spring Festival. Some small-scale enterprises have entered the annual leave inspection stage earlier this week. The re-production time is mostly around the sixth day of the first month of the lunar calendar. The restart of the sales plan may have to be delayed. Rear. One of the major products currently flowing into the Northeast is the northeastern region. It is only after the start of the Spring Festival that the railway transportation is slightly unsmooth. At the same time, in order to avoid concentrated arrival during the Spring Festival, some companies have now controlled the quantity and frequency of shipments, so as to ensure that dealers do not have to be in the thirties. Between the fifth day of the first month, I was busy picking up the goods. In fact, in many regions where the “yearly taste” is already present, the enthusiasm of dealers to pick up goods is indeed relatively low, and it may be that the situation of goods taken by all levels of the market will gradually improve after the holiday.

The raw material market is basically stable. Although there are only a few price increases for individual products for the time being, from the perspective of the status quo of various raw materials and the expectations of many suppliers for the market, it is very likely that after the Spring Festival, there will be a “buzz”. At present, the small granule urea mainstream factory price in Jinci and Luyu is between 1900-1950 yuan/ton, and the low price is still slightly raised; 55% powdered monoammonium mainstream factory quotation is 2700-2750 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price can be appropriate. Offer 50 yuan / ton or so, in the sulfur, phosphorus ore and other high cost support, the short-term monoammonium prices are at least difficult to maintain high; potassium fertilizer market is relatively stable, although the high price volume is not, but the limited amount of stock from the market, recent With many traders reluctant to sell, it is very likely that the price of potassium chloride will rise by 50-100 yuan/ton after the Spring Festival.

The gradual increase in raw material prices and insufficient supply in the downstream market has stimulated many companies to expect price increases. However, whether or not the market price can actually increase depends on the acceptability of the distributors. In short, before the Spring Festival, the market will not change. After the Spring Festival, low-priced compound fertilizers are expected to rebound significantly. However, whether early high prices can continue to rise remains to be seen.


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